Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans

2020 NFL Kickoff odds: Texans vs. Chiefs picks, predictions from top expert who’s 12-4 on Kansas City games

NFL: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Reinhold Matay / USA TODAY Sports

Andy Reid was known as a stellar regular-season coach who was unable to get his team to the promised land in the playoffs. The 62-year-old erased that stigma last season after guiding the Kansas City Chiefs to their first Super Bowl title in 50 years. Reid begins his quest to become the seventh coach to win back-to-back titles when the Chiefs host the Houston Texans on Thursday night in the 2020 NFL Kickoff game. The game begins at 8:20 p.m. ET from Arrowhead Stadium.

Reid posted a 10-9 playoff record while coaching the Eagles but couldn’t put them over the top, losing four NFC Championship Games as well as Super Bowl XXXIX. Kansas City is a nine-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Texans odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 54. Before locking in any Texans vs. Chiefs picks or NFL predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine’s all-time No. 1 NFL expert Mike Tierney has to say.

A national sportswriter whose work appears in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He prefers to evaluate each game from the underdog’s point of view and has used that philosophy to dominate the NFL, going 66-44 against the spread in 2019 and 63-46 in 2018.

All-time at SportsLine (2016-19), Tierney is 282-222 on all NFL picks, returning $3,704 to $100 players. He’s also had a sharp eye for the tendencies of the Chiefs, posting a 12-4 record on NFL against the spread picks for or against Kansas City. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Tierney has locked in on Chiefs vs. Texans from every angle and released a confident against-the-spread pick. You can visit SportsLine now to see it. Here are several NFL lines and trends for Texans vs. Chiefs:

Texans vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -9
Texans vs. Chiefs over-under: 54 points
Texans vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -450, Houston +350
KC: Chiefs are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 games in September
HOU: Texans are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 contests played on Thursdays

Why the Chiefs can cover

It’s ironic that the Texans’ first game after their horrific playoff loss to Kansas City is against the same team that demolished them last postseason. The Chiefs rallied from a 24-0 deficit in the AFC Divisional Round by scoring a touchdown on seven consecutive possessions en route to a decisive 51-31 victory. Mahomes tossed four TDs in the final 9:55 of the second quarter and finished the contest with five, giving him eight in two meetings with Houston last year.

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill didn’t have a touchdown in the playoff matchup, but he has enjoyed success against the Texans over his career. In three regular-season games, the 26-year-old speedster has 11 receptions for 156 yards and a pair of scores, including one in Week 6 last season.

Hill will be looking to get off to a fast start in 2020 after missing four contests last year due to a clavicle injury, which prevented him from recording 1,000 receiving yards (860) for a third straight year.

Why the Texans can cover

Trading DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona in March had most people scratching their heads, but quarterback Deshaun Watson still has enough weapons to lead Houston to its third straight AFC South title and fifth in six years. Will Fuller V is hoping to prove he can stay healthy and possibly take over as Watson’s No. 1 target. The 26-year-old from Notre Dame had a career-high 670 receiving yards and three touchdown catches last season despite missing five games due to injury.

Newcomers Brandin Cooks (questionable) and Randall Cobb will provide Watson with more options at wideout, while David Johnson and Duke Johnson are more than capable coming out of the backfield. Cooks, who was acquired from the Los Angeles Rams, had four straight 1,000-yard seasons before experiencing a down year in 2019, while Cobb is a proven veteran who has amassed over 800 yards four times.

How to make Texans vs. Chiefs picks

Tierney has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning Under, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread.

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